Oli wins politics – Online Khabar

Kathmandu, June 18. If there is no major change in political developments, KP Sharma Oli, chairman of the Nepal Communist Party-United Marxist-Leninist Party, will become the country’s new prime minister.

The first and second powers are in the House of Representatives Congress-UML agree to form coalition government Congress President Sher Bahadur Deuba is ready to make Oli the prime minister for the first time. According to the agreement reached at midnight on Monday, the Congress-backed Oli government will take the initiative to amend the constitution to lay the foundation for political stability.

Congress and UML leaders believe that constitutional amendment is the main reason for changing the government. However, amending the constitution is not as easy as Congress and UML imagine.

Because the Congress and the UML have enough numbers (60%) to form a government, but they do not have the two-thirds required to amend the constitution. Amending the constitution requires two-thirds of the seats in Parliament (184 in the House of Representatives), but the Congress (88) and the UML (79) have only 167 seats in the House of Representatives. The remaining 17 seats should be contested by parties such as the Maoist Center, RASWP, RPPA or the United Socialists.

Even if mathematical figures are collected, it is not easy to resolve the interests of all parties and the voices that may arise from other areas.

For example, the Maoists could adopt a fully proportional electoral system, while the RSVP would abolish the state and the RPP would restore the Hindu state and monarchy. In other words, it would be difficult for the two opposing parties to reach an agreement on constitutional amendments on just one agenda.

If we forget the constitutional amendment agenda, Oli will achieve great success by implementing the consensus reached between the Congress and the ML.

Looking at the current equation, Oli becoming the Prime Minister is a great achievement from both political backgrounds.

First, Oli would become the Prime Minister with the support of the Congress Party. There was a similar opportunity on October 25, 2072. On October 3, 2072, it was decided to form a coalition government with the agreement of the major political parties to promulgate the constitution. When such an agreement was reached, the then Congress President Sushil Koirala became the Prime Minister with the support of the UML.

The meeting decided to appoint Oli as the Prime Minister and agreed to Sushil’s initiative to promulgate the constitution. But the Congress leaders argued that when the country is in a normal state, the first and second powers in the government do not strengthen the democratic system. Based on this reasoning, Sushil Koirala himself nominated himself to compete against Oli in the Prime Ministerial election.

With the support of the Maoists and the Revolutionary Party, Oli became the first prime minister of his political career and the country’s 38th prime minister. But his wish to continue to lead the government before the election was not realized.

After the promulgation of the constitution and the general election in November 2074, three governments were replaced in two years. After Oli, governments led by Prachanda and Deuba were formed and general elections were held.

Now, the same Congress has supported the same Oli as Prime Minister for the fourth time on the grounds of constitution and democracy. This is a great success in the history of Oli and Marxist politics.

UML secretary Yogesh Bhattarai said the country needs Oli as prime minister more than any winner. Bhattarai said, “Only KP Oli has the ability to command the way the country is running now, so it is necessary for the country to make him the prime minister”.

Another success of Oli is that the UML was able to take the leadership of the government within 19 months after the general election. Because looking at the political events of the past three years, it was not something that happened as quickly and as fast as Prime Minister Oli had imagined.

To understand this, you have to go to December 5, 2077. On February 3, 2074, Oli became a more powerful prime minister than he is now. During the electoral alliance with the Maoists and later party unity, the then Nepal Communist Party (NCP) had 174 MPs in the House of Representatives. That is, Oli became prime minister with 63% of parliamentary power.

As internal divisions intensified, Oli, as Prime Minister, made an unconstitutional decision to dissolve the House of Representatives on December 5, 2077. His decision was reversed by the Supreme Court, but the unity of the Nepal Communist Party was not saved. After the unity of the Nepal Communist Party was broken, the UML also split.

With nearly two-thirds of his power destroyed, Oli decided to dissolve the House for the second time. The Supreme Court ruled on June 28, 2078, sacked Oli on the writ of decision to dissolve the House for the second time.

This situation was interpreted by Prachanda and Madhav Nepal as their victory. But thereafter, as the tournament progressed, Oli started winning one after another.

By agreeing on 10 points, Oli succeeded in weakening the influence of the Madhav Nepal and Jalnath Khanal split parties. 10 points A large number of central officials and workers still remain in the UML.

With the strength of the same leading activists, the UML won the three-tier elections held in 1979. That election was probably the most difficult in the UML’s life because Madhav-Jalnath split the party and formed the USP. The five-party power alliance of the Congress-Maoist and the United Socialist Party opposed the UML in the three-tier elections as a common candidate.

But the UML became a power close to the Congress. In terms of party votes (proportion), the UML became the first force. It became the largest party in Kosi, Madhesh and Lumbini provinces.

On the contrary, the five-party alliance at the time suffered a heavy blow because after the general election, even if the five parties led by Deuba united, they would not get the majority votes required to form a government. The Socialist Unity Party could not even become a national party after crossing the threshold.

Although the expected vote did not come, Deuba and Prachanda continued to argue over who would be the first prime minister. UML benefited from this. Oli offered Prachanda the prime ministership but Deuba refused to give it.

Prachanda broke the five-party alliance and became prime minister on December 10, 1979, leading a government that included the UML, RSWP and RPP. Maoist leader Prachanda had only 32 seats in parliament, and becoming prime minister in this way was not a mandate, but a result of the Hong Parliament.

But Prachanda began looking for a replacement for the prime minister. While staying in the UML, he again joined the Congress and said that the Maoists should not be shunned. Despite an agreement between the two parties that the UML would take over the presidency if he became prime minister, Prachanda broke the agreement and supported Congress leader Ramchandra Paudel in February 2079. The UML, RPP and RSWP left the government.

There was a change in the power alliance. Prachanda once again felt uncomfortable with the Congress-led alliance. Unable to change ministers, Prachanda decided to return to the UML on February 21.

But Prachanda, who played with the shoulders of the Congress and the UML, created 19 federal cabinet reshuffles in a year and a half and appointed chief ministers of provinces for the sixth time, and this time he has failed miserably. On the contrary, with the support of the Congress, Oli’s political line to become prime minister has been strengthened.

Political analyst Nilambar Acharya said the collaboration between the Congress and UML should be taken for granted.

Analyst Acharya said it would help democracy if the major political parties took on the responsibility of making constitutional and far-reaching decisions in the current situation. However, he believes that we should be careful about the problems that may arise when major parties are in power. “The media and civil society should be very careful to follow the work of the government. We have to play the role of the opposition,” he said.

Union Marxist-Leninist Minister Bhattarai said that since Oli is also a leader among leaders, the new government will work to instill hope in the country.

As Acharya and Bhattarai say, if we set aside the possibility of tomorrow and go back to the past, Oli’s premiership was not a clear success for the UML line.

The same point was also made by the resolutions and activities of the UML after the election results of November 2079. Because in the elections of 2079, the UML was declared to have won a single majority and Oli became the Prime Minister.

But since it did not achieve the desired results, a two-month grassroots campaign was conducted. The purpose of the campaign was to find out the problems within the party. After discovering the problems through the grassroots campaign, the UML leaders launched a one-year special campaign from June 1980. During the one-year campaign, the leaders were responsible for different regions and made extensive adjustments to their responsibilities.

There have been changes in the leadership of provinces and people’s groups. Leadership selection exercises have been carried out for the staff of all districts and cities. In November last year, a Sankalpur Yatra with the central spiritual theme was held under the leadership of Oli.

The UML was carrying out all these activities in preparation for a single majority in the next elections 084. But as its internal strength grew, the UML was also carrying out political and parliamentary activities and succeeded in taking the leadership of the government before Mission-84.