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Biden’s endorsement of Vice President Kamala Harris has changed the political landscape in the United States, setting the stage for a fierce contest between Harris and former President Donald Trump. Harris was formally nominated as the Democratic nominee at the Democratic National Convention in Chicago last week, and Minnesota Governor Tim Waltz was chosen as her running mate.
Now, Harris and Waltz find themselves in a tight race with Trump and his vice presidential nominee, JD Vance. The race is close, with national polling averages and historical data showing Harris’s support has surged recently. The shift comes as both candidates have just over two months left to solidify their voter bases, especially in key battleground states.
Poll trends show Harris has been able to make up lost ground for the Democratic Party since Biden dropped out. By August, she was leading in the polls for the first time, despite widespread consensus among some analysts that the assassination attempt on Trump in mid-July all but ensured his victory.
Harris’ stature was further boosted by her choice of Waltz, initially seen as a surprise and relatively unknown figure, which gained traction among her supporters. On the other hand, Trump’s campaign has faced a backlash over its hard-line conservative rhetoric and the impact of Project 2025, a far-right initiative seen by some as a threat to democratic checks and balances in government.
Trump’s running mate, JD Vance, has also been criticized for a lackluster public performance, adding to the challenges for the Republican campaign. Even after independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race and endorsed Trump, an expected surge in Republican support has not materialized in the polls.
At this point, the race remains too close to call, with polls showing the race within the margin of error and the outcome still uncertain.
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