The regime was forced to stop falsifying data on Cuba’s demographic crisis

he Officials admit Cuba’s population has dropped below 10 million this is the last time The success of Cuban civil society.

Already happened During the National Assembly of People’s Power (ANPP) session. Juan Carlos Alfonso, first deputy director of the National Statistics and Information Office (ONEI), announced that the population of Cuba was 10,055,968 as of December 31, 2023. This figure is 10% lower than the 11,181,595 officially verified on the same day in 2020. Officials clarified that from 2024 to date, the population outflow has continued and the birth population has shrunk The total number of Cubans on the island has fallen below 10 million.

This way Castro admits lying for years about number of Cubans on island,who Official statistics do not reflect the stampede Hundreds of millions of compatriots. The formula used to announce that the population had fallen below ten million seemed more like manipulation of group psychology than professional sincerity. Our population was nine million, which was at best a guess, since the official figure was still above ten, suggesting that the lies that had been deceived had not been replaced by the truth.

Castro’s adjustment was made after July 8 last year Article from EFE “According to an independent study, Cuba’s population fell by 18% between 2022 and 2023.”

There you can read: “According to an independent demographic study ready for publication and accessible to EFE, Cuba’s population fell by 18% between 2022 and 2023, mainly due to emigration, to 8.62 million people”.

The title of the demographic study mentioned in the previous quote is Cuba. Quick facts about immigration and populationpublished by Columbia Law School publication Horizonte Cubano, and written by Renowned economist and demographer Juan Carlos Albizu-Campos.

The rush to publish official data is due to this statement by one of the most competent demographers in Cuba, a man with more than thirty years of experience, a humanist pedigree that prevents him from downplaying the human in numbers, and a PhD in Demography from the University Paris X-Nanterre (2002).

In order to make calculations in an environment where official data are distorted, Albizu-Campos used information from the United Nations International Organization for Migration (IOM).the number of Cuban immigrants in April 2019 was 1,558,312. Note the year, so the current wave of migration is very far away, Albizu-Campos in his study began on October 1, 2021, and has lasted for more than two and a half years: “Two and a half years The population continues to flow out to any destinationthe total net inflow from the United States alone has reached 738,680…”

Why do Castro officials say that according to data released by Cuba, the Cuban population abroad is only 1,011,269? Cuban Debate As a result of your intervention, has the United Nations admitted in 2019 that the number is over 500,000? Lies are short-legged and the official response to Albizu-Campos’s estimate represents a new wave of lies.

Albizu-Campos uses other reliable sources of informationsuch as the voters’ rolls for 2013 and 2023, and the 2012 census, because the Castro regime decided not to conduct the 2022 census, perhaps out of conscience. The voters’ roll is defective in that it is missing Cubans between the ages of 0 and 16, because they are not yet of voting age.

One of the factors that most distorts the credibility of ONEI population data Over the past decade, the author tells us in the following excerpt: “Since 2013, the principle has been applied: as long as those who leave renew their passports and enter the country at least once every two years, he Obviously, this affects the information and presents a fictitious image of Cuban immigrants.

inside The root of this distortion Probably in January of that year, Decree No. 302 came into force, amending the 1976 Immigration Law and removing the obstacles Cubans had to leave the country, including the so-called “exit permit,” which by its name describes its function: to leave the country, Cubans must obtain a permit. Likewise, the period during which Cubans can stay abroad before losing their right to return and having their assets in Cuba confiscated is extended from 11 months to two years.

Although the author does not mention immigration reform, he does document the changing nature of Cuban immigration from that year on: “The Cuban immigration pattern has changed dramatically over the past decade. It has shifted from a ‘cellular’ model of ‘, quasi-closed, tightly controlled mobility … to an ‘open’ model characterized by an ‘explosion’ in the number of new exit routes … “.

This way, Official misrepresentations of the nature of immigration appear designed to conceal accelerating population decline This is what has been happening since the immigration reform. Juan Carlos Alfonso and other population officials know that the number of residents officially registered in 2020 is already a falsification of the real figures, and that the current population estimates, which use December 2020 as a reference, extend the inaccuracy to the articles and statements that sparked the attempt to clarify. Juan Carlos Albizu-Campos.

In his conclusion, Albizu-Campos warns of the dangers posed to the country by the current extraordinary wave of migrationwhich will “further disintegrate the age structure of the population and bring closer the arrival of a general crisis in labor resources. 77% are 15-59 years old, and 57% are women.”

Using population calculations, information provided by the electoral rolls of 2013 and 2023 and estimates of the decline in the population aged between zero and 15 years between 2012 and 2022, we can estimate the Cuban population “clearly indicating that it could have fallen to 8,619,931; a cumulative decrease of 18% in the last biennium alone, 2022-2023, compared to the period between 2012 and 2021”.

Cuba. Quick facts about immigration and populationwith illustrative calculations Cuba’s population is declining sharplywhich immediately prompted an official response Years of copying fake and manipulated dataBasically it has succeeded Juan Carlos Albizu-Camposbut generally speaking, Civilized Society Who works for whom Encouraging institutional transparency and societal debate In the midst of a very serious general crisis and Castro’s unhealthy efforts to cover up a major public crisis.

The event commemorates similar successes, such as the article published by Mario Luis Reyes “Five sexual abuse complaints against Fernando Becker” December 8, 2021, which forced the agreement to be announced the next day Comprehensive strategies to prevent and address gender-based violence in the domestic settingThe document had been approved since June of that year, but its publication and implementation had been delayed. Also remember the success of the platform Alastansas Gender Observatory yes I believe you are in Cuba After successfully registering femicide in 2023, the island forced official recognition of its occurrence for the first time.