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Author: BAGEHOT
Political scientists often sneer at campaign events, arguing that they have at most a small, or sometimes no, influence on election outcomes. In an article published in the American Journal of Political Science, American political scientist Alan Abramowitz expressed the general view of his discipline on the US election. Washington post:
When you’re in the middle of a campaign, people, especially the media, tend to overestimate the importance of certain events. These events include high-profile gaffes, vice presidential elections, controversial ads, and other moments that get a lot of attention… things that have no measurable impact. The media is interested in grabbing people’s attention, but a lot of the stories you read or see focus on trivial things. How a campaign goes depends largely on fundamentals.
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