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Valtteri Valpera
The final result of the European elections came as a surprise in many ways and is likely to have far-reaching consequences for all the main parties and their chairmen, as well as for the Finnish people in general, writes news editor Valtteri Varpela.
Petteri Orpo, who has won the presidential election seven times and feels his power, must now pay very careful attention to what is happening among the Finnish people. Petri Pallasmaa
On Sunday at 20:00 sharp, the two most shocking events in the election results can be seen in close-up shots of the president.
Basic Finns’ decline to sixth largest party affects only its chairman For Riikka Purra Completely out of context, for example, HS’ Gallup had predicted the party would get the third-largest number of seats less than a week before election day. Everyone watching the broadcast could see the confusion and shock on Purala’s face.
Measured by the expression index, the SPD chairman is more surprised Antti LintermannNo one could believe it, but the “little brother” Left Alliance had clearly surpassed it and became the second largest party after the Alliance. Lee Anderson An incomprehensible pot with nearly 250,000 individual votes, “jytkyli”.
The totally unpleasant moment of surprise that Pula and Linterman experienced is the worst thing that can happen to a party leader on the eve of an election result. When the whole country knows that you have completely gone out of your way and all the media are pointing their cameras at your face during a live broadcast. This level of surprise for a major party leader is not common in recent Finnish political history.
Finland’s Social Democratic Party, which had been the largest left-wing party throughout the postwar period, is now trailing the Left Alliance in two elections held within a few months.
The presidential election is more typically a personal one and has not been as consequential, but the Left Alliance’s rise to a larger bar in the party support graph for the European elections is a shock that has had a bigger impact.
Lintermann and the Social Democrats are hostage to the left coalition. The election results send a rare and clear message: there is no political room for maneuver in the center or on the right. Otherwise, the left side of the party may begin to leak.
And although the Democrats are now appeasing each other, they were actually defeated by Lee Anderson, who disappeared in Brussels, rather than by the Left Alliance, but at least the threshold for voters to vote for the Left Alliance was not low, after crossing the threshold once.
To his predecessor Sana Marinha Lintmann is considered more right-wing and has been prime minister throughout his presidency Petri Oppen Given the government’s tough cuts, there is a secret hope that support for the biggest opposition boss will rise on its own if those in power make the wrong decisions.
This time it’s over. Lintermann must become radical. Otherwise, discontent will grow among the left wing of the party, and this group will begin to harass and challenge Lintermann. Under Vantaläinen’s leadership, the Democratic Party has lost two consecutive general elections. If the same happens in next year’s municipal and regional elections, the exit will come.
For Pula, the election result is the starkest wake-up call. Support for the party has fallen from over 20 percent in parliamentary elections a year ago to 7.6 percent – almost halved compared to the last European elections.
If and when ordinary Finnish MPs start to worry about their well-paid jobs because of falling poll numbers, they will start to take their own line in parliament. The situation is dire for a government with a slim majority.
Pula’s worst nightmare is next year’s municipal and regional elections: if the party does not get enough candidates, the elections will be a complete massacre for them. Then the chairman will have to leave, or the party may even dissolve.
They were in charge of the government in 2017 when the Peruvian Party dissolved after losing local elections and falling in the polls. Then the losses in the European elections were clearly smaller than they are now.
Despite the brilliant victory, the election results were poison for Orbó and the coalition. The Democratic Party became radicalized and basic Finns were forced to improve their image, which made the government’s work more difficult.
The lifeline of the government lies especially between the prime minister and the chairman of the second-largest party. Having won seven presidential elections and feeling his power, Orpo must now pay close attention to what is happening among the Finnish people.
If the situation of the Finnish people is not calmed down, the Orpó government, which will celebrate its first anniversary next week, will begin to decline and may even end in new elections before the second anniversary of the government.
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