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Social commentator Ólöf Skaftadóttir (former editor of Fréttablaðinn), Snorri Másson (editor of Rittojnarn) and Örn Úlfar Sævarsson (creative) discussed the election situation at the Vísi panel earlier today.
Aoun Urfa said it would be interesting to see whether voters would try to vote tactically against either candidate, which is unlikely.
But what does tactical voting mean?
“Olavur Þ. Hardarsson has been talking about this all along. Icelanders can’t agree on tactical voting. Their hearts are too pure,” Snorri said. He noted that when Vigdís won the 1980 election, she won with 33 percent of the vote, Guðlaugur Þorvaldsson got 32 percent, while the other two got 19 and 14 percent.
“Even though everyone knew it was just between Vigdis and Gudlaug, 19 percent of the votes went to one party and 14 percent to the other.”
This suggests that, at least in 1980, Icelanders were not ready to vote against someone alone.
“Obviously if people were able to compare their books more efficiently and match the strings, the results would be very different. So now Katrin is making a lot of money from this,” Snorri said.
Not surprisingly, Jón Gnarr cancelled
Aoun then noted that candidates may not want the opposing candidate to withdraw until the last minute.
“I wouldn’t be surprised if Jón Gnarr took care of things. Naturally, it’s clear that what he did was crazy. There are a lot of other things going on,” Ornn said, noting that his approval rating is very stable, around 10 to 12 percent. “I don’t think he would take it.”
However, respondents agreed that it didn’t matter who Jon would support if he dropped out of the race. Although it was clear who he wouldn’t support. “He’s very much attached to Katrina,” Snorri said.
“He’s also the most unlikely tool in this fight so far, and you can imagine him eventually trying to turn the tables in some risky way,” Orloff interjected.
When asked, they said it was unlikely that any candidate would drop out in the final election. Aoun noted that the ballots have already been printed, so if a candidate dropped out, his name would still appear on the ballot.
“You have nothing to lose by doing this. The publication costs for the rest of the week are probably already covered,” Orloff said.
The complete panel is shown below.
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