[ad_1]
The re-establishment of diplomatic relations between Turkey and Syria remains high on the agenda. But there is not enough information yet to fully understand this stage. Neither the Turkish nor the Syrian governments have provided specific information about this stage. President Erdogan has a positive attitude towards meeting with Bashar al-Assad, who has stated that he is ready to meet with him. The NSA also stated that Turkey will continue to work hard to reach an agreement with all parties in Syria and seek a sustainable solution.
On the other hand, Russia is also actively conducting diplomatic activities to facilitate a meeting between the two leaders. In the statement issued, it emphasized that the two countries may hold a high-level meeting before the end of 2024. The Turkish leader is developing a far-reaching plan, mainly for the return of refugees and the fight against terrorism.
Director of SETA Security Department, Prof. Dr. Please note Murat Yeshiltash’s comments on this topic.
It may take a long time for Turkey and Syria to reestablish diplomatic relations. Within the framework of this stage, the parties must first reach an agreement on confidence-building measures and principles. First, Turkey expects Syria to take concrete steps on refugee returns and counter-terrorism. Ankara hopes that the Syrian opposition will be able to participate in the diplomatic process. If the Syrian government tries to advance its interests or wastes time, Ankara will reconsider this stage.
According to the above information, the time loop problem will play a big role on the stage. It is not so easy to solve the problem early. The Syrian refugee issue also plays a big role on the stage.
The issue of refugees’ desire to return to their homes also plays an important role in this phase. Much of the area controlled by the Syrian government has changed over the past decade, and the homes of those who fled the country are now occupied by others. The issue of bringing refugees into northern Syria is one of the most difficult areas in this phase. There are great difficulties in bringing refugees to these areas. This issue also makes them hesitant to return. The policies of the Syrian government will play a decisive role in this issue. The Syrian government needs to create favorable conditions in multiple areas, including resolving property disputes and providing public security. If appropriate measures are not taken, the number of returning refugees will be very small and major bottlenecks may occur.
Turkey is paying close attention to the adoption phase. To address this, Ankara is developing a massive work program. The main goal is to create a favorable security, political and economic environment for the return of refugees. Opposition to the growing number of refugees in Turkey is growing day by day. This issue is also important, as is the adoption phase. Therefore, it is crucial for the Turkish government to adopt a new communication strategy to convince and reassure Syrians in Turkey to return. Inclusion of Syrian refugees in Turkey is also crucial to ensure their safety and the effectiveness of the program.
The question of the role of the Syrian opposition also plays an important role at this stage. There are military groups that support the regime and there are military groups that oppose it. In terms of security, harmonious cooperation between the Turkish government and the military opposition is essential. Foreign Minister Hakan Fida’s statement that “we will not let go of the Syrian opposition” clearly stated this goal.
Renewed focus on security in northern Syria and review of political and local dynamics are critical to the effectiveness of the action plan. The Turkish government is expected to carefully analyze the above areas and develop a business plan.
Fighting terrorism and establishing stability will be decisive in the talks between Ankara and Damascus. Otherwise, the situation will lead to a deadlock in the arena of differences of opinion among the mainly military opposition.
It is necessary to act in concert with the Syrian opposition, prevent divisions and gain their support. The Turkish government needs to address the concerns of both support and opposition groups. In this context, Ankara will strengthen its leverage in negotiations with Damascus.
Ankara is currently working on a business plan. The main stage will begin after the Erdogan-Assad meeting.
[ad_2]
Source link
