Military experts: This does not mean anything good

There were no significant changes in the contact lines. True, Russian sources leaked information about the successful entry of the Ukrainians into Malaya, but the data are contradictory. Russia announced that the Ukrainian army had managed to improve the situation east of Snagots and near Martynovka.

So far, there are no recorded attempts by the Ukrainians to seize positions on the south bank of the Sem River in the Glushkov area.

Unconfirmed reports indicate that the Ukrainians are setting up crossings on the Seym River to reinforce the Korenevo flank and capture it. If successful, the Glushkovsky District would be a logical addition to be plucked like apples from the bottom.

The Ukrainian defenders attacked the invaders’ border post at Nechatyevka on the eastern flank of Lypsiya with possibly a company-sized force.

As always, the occupiers’ pants are wet – they are talking about groups of “fOshists” of inhuman size, as if the Ukrainians were attacking with 30 tanks (so, a whole battalion of tanks). There is no information about the results of the battles, but it is clear that the Ukrainian troops are trying to test and provoke the invaders’ forces at various points along the route, perhaps in order to tire them out and, when the opportunity arises, launch a successful counterattack.

We saw the same tactics before Ukraine’s first successful counterattack in 2022. The fall in the Kharkiv and Luhansk directions.

Routine fighting continued in the Lypčiai and Vovčansk regions, with no changes to the contact line.

Kupyansk. For the Russians, the pressure across the contact line is paying off. They managed to improve their positions near Pishchayan. The situation remains complicated.

The invaders intensified their actions along the entire contact line, but the northern flank remained the hottest. The Ukrainian defenders held their ground.

Siverska. Fighting in the Spirnė – Verchnokamenské region continues without significant changes.

In and around the city, Ukrainians maintained positions on the western bank of the canal.

The occupiers have already taken control of the northern sector around Pivnikny, while the southern sector remains “unowned”. It is likely that the Russians will quickly take advantage and intensify their offensive on the eastern edge of Torreko. Heavy fighting continues on the New York-Nelipivka stretch, and the line of contact has not changed.

Pokrovsk-Vukhledar. The north side. A day ago, experts wrote that in the Novorodivka region it is crucial for Ukrainians not only to prevent the Russians from approaching Terikons, but also to prevent the aggressors from gaining a foothold in the Krasnyar-Krutyar region.

Unfortunately, the Russians had already made a breakthrough at Novorodivka and had basically gained access to the southeastern approach to the Terikon River. In addition, the occupiers managed to advance in the Krasnyar-Krutiar area, so they already had the opportunity to attack the Terikons from the eastern flank.

“As you know, this doesn’t mean anything good,” the expert admitted.

The first was the exit from the section of road less than 10 km from the city of Pokrovsk (at which point Russian artillery was already free to operate). More importantly, bypassing the Zhuravka River from the west and climbing the heights on the north bank of the river (i.e. destroying this section of Ukrainian defenses) became a fairly realistic sequence of events.

The Russians continue to expand their bridgehead on the other side of the Kalivka-Pokrovsk road near Mihailivka. In addition, they have crossed the road at another location and set up camp just north of Memrik. The Ukrainians have mostly left the northern part of the road. Unfortunately, so far everything has gone according to the predictions of the Russian VEV.

Center. Heavy fighting continued around Kalivka, where the occupiers occupied “no man’s land”.

South wing. A difficult situation looms in Vuhledar, as the Russians continue to put pressure on the Ukrainian defenders near Vodiane (northeast of Vuhledar). The invading army intensifies its attack on the western flank of Vuhledar (towards Prechistivka). It looks like another battle for Vuhledar is about to begin.

Unfortunately, the experts were right about the repeated hits on Ukraine’s civilian infrastructure. Tuesday’s attack was twice as large as the previous one, but still painful. The Russians used 91 guns (three Kinzhals, one Iskander M, one Iskander K, five Kh101s and even 81 Shhahed drones) to carry out the attack.

While the hit rate of the Ukrainian defenders is about 60%. The most dangerous air targets – “Dagger”, “Iskander” ballistic missiles and cruise missiles passed. By the way, it is not common for the aggressors to hit three “Daggers” at the same time, so it is possible for the Russians to attack large targets and expect 99%. Good luck with destroying the objects.

It appears that they successfully attacked energy infrastructure in western Ukraine.

On these nights, drones dominate the firing methods, while the second most common weapon, the Kh101 rocket, was used more frequently only on Monday. Therefore, according to the classics of this type, in the near future the Russians may attack Ukrainian territory with more Kh101 missiles and save a little drones.