Will the Middle East explode? What will happen to the economy?

Series of steps

Dr. Adnan Salah Ismail wrote:

The Middle East has entered a period of holding its breath, waiting for Iran’s response to the assassination of Ismail Haniyeh, head of the Political Bureau of the Islamic Resistance Movement in Tehran, and Hezbollah in Lebanon to respond to the assassination of Hezbollah’s second-in-command, Fuad Shukr, located in the southern suburbs of the capital Beirut.
In Iran, various sectors of Iranian society and the senior leadership of the Iranian regime constantly call for a strong military response against Israel. The same Western newspaper claims that the Supreme Leader of the Revolution, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, ordered a direct attack on Israel and prepared offensive and defensive plans in case the war with Israel expands. The basis for this is that “it is Iran’s duty to avenge the blood of Martyr Haniyeh, as he was martyred on Iranian soil.” According to the words of the Supreme Leader of the Iranian Revolution.
US media believe that Iran is considering launching a coordinated missile attack and advance on Haifa and Tel Aviv, and coordinating with other resistance factions to move the conflict into the Israeli hinterland within Israel’s historically secure depths.
In response to the assassination of senior military commander Fuad Shukr and the massacre in Gaza, Hezbollah announced that the confrontation with Israel has entered the stage of a major campaign, and His Excellency Sayyid Hassan Nasrallah added: “The response to Israel will inevitably come, and it will be serious, real and well-thought-out.” He stressed that “the enemy and those behind them will inevitably wait for our next response, and there is no debate or debate between us day and night, on the battlefield… We are looking for a real response, not a formal response.” . The region is facing a major battle, the issues of which go beyond the issue of belonging, which will have some unrealized impact on the enemy’s future… The surrender of Hamas or Lebanon is impossible. ” “.
The Israeli side, which is dealing with the most serious conflict of its kind in the history of the Arab-Israeli conflict, is in sync with the American side, which is trying to defuse the crisis through negotiations behind the scenes and be content with a formal settlement of the conflict. The response was rejected by various countries and resistance factions.
Israeli authorities have taken special security measures and increased their alert status to counter a possible response from resisting countries and factions. The army has canceled leave for soldiers in combat units and put air defense systems on high alert to intercept any threat coming from the north, south, east or west. Israel’s Channel 12 said the Shin Bet General Security Directorate has increased the guard level for the prime minister and government ministers.
According to Israeli media reports, Israel may face a multi-front war that pushes the Middle East into a regional war, and it must be prepared to deal with missile attacks and drone attacks from all over.
Amos Harel, an Israeli military analyst for Haaretz, said Israel is facing a new round of escalation that could lead to a wider regional conflict. “Tel Aviv hopes that the conflict can be contained and avoid escalating into a full-scale war on the northern front, as Netanyahu is not interested in a full-scale confrontation with Hezbollah while the fighting on the Gaza front is raging,” he said.
Military analysts have concluded that the Israeli government and army do not have any solutions to calm the situation and get out of the strategic stalemate in the north and border towns, whose residents have been evacuated since October last year, and the situation is in danger of turning into a full-scale war against the backdrop of Haniyeh’s assassination in Tehran, which has become a reality.
But there is also a Western view that Netanyahu is prepared to push the entire region into a full-scale war in order to preserve his own political future, and the leaked media scenes of his recent visit to Washington also indicate this.
Many problems surfaced
Is the Middle East on the brink of all-out war?
If the resistance axis launches a large-scale operation against Israel, what response would be expected from Western countries and the United States?
What would happen if the conflict expanded, while middle-income economies remain constrained by financial instability? Low-income countries are suffering from high prices for basic goods, the ongoing impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, and the wars in Ukraine and Gaza.
I believe that the economic situation will deteriorate at a greater rate than in the military sphere, which is frightening. Netanyahu believes that by launching a war, he is covering his path to political and military failure, and he knows when the war will start, but its scale, impact and repercussions may be completely out of control, even for the great powers on both axes, but the dilemma is that political enthusiasts in the White House and Tel Aviv are turning the wheel based on narrow electoral and personal interests. A way that foreshadows ominous consequences.

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