Türkiye acts as mediator between Ethiopia and Somalia

This could mean a turning point in their strained relationship.

Background to the agreement and heightened tensions

Tensions between Ethiopia and Somalia have been palpable this year. Addis Ababa and Somaliland sign controversial agreementIn fact, the deal granted Ethiopia a 50-year lease for a naval base in exchange for diplomatic recognition of Somaliland, a move Mogadishu viewed as blatant aggression.

Also read: U.S. military searches for two missing sailors in Somalia

Impact of the agreement and Türkiye’s strategic role

This new dynamic therefore raises questions about the true intentions of all parties involved. While Somalia’s stance appears to have softened, Ethiopia remains silent. Moreover, Addis Ababa’s formal recognition of Somaliland, which is necessary to implement the agreement, remains unconfirmed.

At the same time, Türkiye’s involvement in this issue is also of strategic significance. Close to SomaliaAnkara seeks to expand its influence in the region. To this end, it has solidified this ambition by signing a commercial agreement for oil and gas extraction off the coast of Somalia, as well as a defense agreement.

Geopolitical issues and future prospects

Finally, Turkey’s mediation efforts take place in the complex geopolitical context of East Africa, which is characterized by Security, borders and access to resourcesAnalysts remain cautious about the chances of the talks succeeding, and highlight the uncertainty of goals and expectations. This seemingly frozen position of both sides poses a major challenge, and the Constitutional Committee’s response to the outcome of the talks could affect the future of relations in the region.