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The economic situation remains grim

Broadcast United News Desk
The economic situation remains grim

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The CBS Business Cycle Tracker is a tool for monitoring the economic situation in the Netherlands. It provides an overview of the macroeconomic situation over the past month or quarter based on all data published by the CBS. However, this situation can still vary between different households, companies or regions.

Business Cycle Tracker (unweighted average of CBS Business Cycle Tracker excluding GDP)
2020 August -1.32
2020 September -1.21
2020 October -0.99
2020 November -0.92
2020 December -0.61
2021 January -0.76
2021 February -0.95
2021 March -0.9
2021 April -0.77
2021 possible -0.52
2021 June -0.36
2021 July -0.07
2021 August 0.33
2021 September 0.4
2021 October 0.5
2021 November 0.61
2021 December 0.67
2022 January 0.63
2022 February 0.32
2022 March 0.47
2022 April 0.55
2022 possible 0.69
2022 June 0.84
2022 July 0.79
2022 August 0.77
2022 September 0.68
2022 October 0.57
2022 November 0.52
2022 December 0.45
2023 January 0.37
2023 February 0.29
2023 March 0.22
2023 April 0.14
2023 possible 0.04
2023 June -0.05
2023 July -0.14
2023 August -0.24
2023 September -0.3
2023 October -0.35
2023 November -0.43
2023 December -0.49
2024 January -0.55
2024 February -0.64
2024 March -0.69
2024 April -0.72
2024 possible -0.78
2024 June -0.79
2024 July -0.79

Consumers and producers are more passive

In July 2024, Dutch consumer and producer confidence was slightly lower than in the previous month. Consumer and producer confidence is below the long-term average of the past two decades.

Consumer and producer confidence (seasonally adjusted)
2020 August -29 -7.8
2020 September -28 -7
2020 October -30 -7.7
2020 November -26 -6.4
2020 December -20 -3.2
2021 January -19 -1.8
2021 February -19 -2.6
2021 March -18 0.6
2021 April -14 3.6
2021 possible -9 5.6
2021 June -3 7.8
2021 July -4 9.2
2021 August -6 7.1
2021 September -5 9.1
2021 October -10 10.4
2021 November -19 10.1
2021 December -25 7.3
2022 January -28 6.5
2022 February -30 5.8
2022 March -39 5.7
2022 April -48 7.2
2022 possible -47 5.8
2022 June -50 4.2
2022 July -51 5.3
2022 August -54 2.4
2022 September -59 1.2
2022 October -59 0.9
2022 November -57 1.1
2022 December -52 1
2023 January -49 1.1
2023 February -44 0.9
2023 March -39 0.9
2023 April -37 -0.3
2023 possible -38 -1.7
2023 June -39 -2.7
2023 July -39 -2.7
2023 August -40 -4.6
2023 September -39 -3.9
2023 October -38 -3.7
2023 November -33 -2.6
2023 December -29 -5.7
2014 January -28 -4.4
2014 February -27 -4.2
2014 March -twenty two -4.8
2014 April -twenty one -3.6
2014 possible -twenty two -2.8
2014 June -twenty three -2.4
2014 August -twenty four -2.7

Household consumption rises, exports and investment fall

Household expenditure 0.2 peopleConsumer spending rose 10% in May 2024 from a year earlier, adjusting for price changes and shopping day patterns. Consumers spent more on services and durable goods, especially apparel.

In May 2024, total merchandise exports (adjusted for the number of working days) fell by 4.Every 3Exports fell 20 percent year-on-year, with a particular drop in exports of machinery, natural gas, petroleum products and transport equipment.

Tangible fixed asset investment in May 2024 decreased by 6.8 PercentThe year-on-year decline was mainly due to reduced investment in construction, aircraft, passenger cars and machinery (including defense equipment).

Manufacturing output fell 3% in May

In May 2024, the calendar-adjusted output of the Dutch manufacturing sector was 3.0 perIn May 2023, manufacturing output fell by 0%. After adjusting for seasonal and calendar effects, manufacturing output fell by 0.4 pairsThere was a decrease in May compared to April.

Bankruptcies rise in June

After adjusting for court days, there were 37 more bankruptcy cases in June 2024 than in May. This is an increase of 1Every 1In the first half of 2024,0 minutesThe number of businesses declaring bankruptcy has increased compared to a year ago.

House prices rose nearly 10% in June

In June 2024, the number of existing owner-occupied dwellings is 9Every .7On average, it is 100 cents more expensive than a year ago. This is the biggest increase in nearly two years..3 PercentSales in June were higher than in May.

Work hours increased, job openings increased, unemployment rate remained unchanged

In the first quarter of 2023, working hours increased 0.3%After adjusting for seasonal effects, this is a decrease compared to the previous quarter. In the first quarter of 2024, the total working time of employees and self-employed people exceeded 3.7 billion hours.

In June 2024, the number of unemployed people aged 15 to 74 was 370,000. This represents 3.6% of the labour force, the same proportion as in May. The number of unemployed people has barely changed over the past three months. During this period, employment has increased by an average of 5,000 per month.

After six consecutive quarters of decline, the number of job openings increased slightly in the first quarter of 2024. At the end of the first quarter, the number of job openings was 411,000, an increase of nearly 1,000 from the end of December.

In the first quarter of 2024, the turnover of temporary employment and employment agencies was 2.9 minutes laterAn increase compared to the same period last year.

The economy will shrink by 0.5% in the first quarter of 2024

According to the second estimate by Statistics Netherlands (CBS), gross domestic product (GDP) fell by.5 pagesThe first quarter of 2024 is a percentage point relative to the fourth quarter of 2023. The contraction in the first quarter was mainly due to merchandise exports. The decline in merchandise exports was associated with a contraction in the manufacturing sector.

Gross domestic product (volume), seasonally adjusted
2020 the first season 97.1
2020 Second quarter 89.1
2020 the third quater 95.0
2020 Q4 95.4
2021 the first season 96.1
2021 Second quarter 100.0
2021 the third quater 101.9
2021 Q4 102.0
2022 the first season 102.9
2022 Second quarter 105.8
2022 the third quater 105.8
2022 Q4 105.6
2023 the first season 105.3
2023 Second quarter 105.3
2023 the third quater 104.9
2023 Q4 105.0
2024 the first season 104.4

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