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Former President Donald Trump (left) and Vice President Kamal Harris
Reuters
Vice President Kamala Harris Ahead of former presidents Donald Trump According to a new survey, key battleground states such as Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania are The New York Times/Siena College polling.
The polls show Harris beating Trump 50% to 46% among likely voters in all three states, though those leads are within the survey’s margin of error. Likely voters are only a portion of the overall pool of registered voters surveyed.
The poll surveyed 619 registered voters in Michigan and 661 registered voters in Wisconsin from Monday to Thursday. From Tuesday to Friday, the poll surveyed 693 registered voters in Pennsylvania.
Looking at all registered voters, the head-to-head results are slightly different: Harris maintains a 4-point lead in Wisconsin, but leads by 3 points in Pennsylvania and actually trails Trump by 3 points in Michigan.
The Times/Siena poll is the latest data point tracking a broader shakeup since 2006. President Joe Biden He withdrew from the race in July and supported Harris While polls show the two candidates still tied, it’s clear that Harris has fundamentally changed the race from where it was a month ago.
In the weeks since Biden dropped out, Harris has made up much of the polling gap that Democrats lost, even replacing Trump’s lead in some cases.
exist possibleEven in the president June debate performance was poorThe Times/Siena poll found Biden tied with Trump in Wisconsin. Biden trails the Republican presidential candidate in both Michigan and Pennsylvania.
The Trump campaign said in a memo on Saturday that the Times/Siena poll “significantly underestimates” Trump’s support among registered and likely voters.
“Once again we see a series of polls being released with the clear intent and purpose of driving down approval ratings for President Trump,” Republican pollsters Tony Fabrizio and Tim Saylor wrote in the memo.
Even with the Democratic Party’s shakeup, one result remains unchanged: economy It has become the most concerned issue among registered voters.
Recession concerns The trend began to unfold last week when stocks plunged on Monday and struggled to claw back gains in the days that followed. The sell-off was fueled in part by a weaker-than-expected jobs report, which stoked concerns that the Federal Reserve’s failure to cut interest rates was putting too much pressure on the economy.
According to the Times/Siena poll, Trump leads Harris among voters by 9 percentage points on his handling of the economy.
The Times/Siena survey also comes as voters are examining Harris’s possible running mate, Minnesota Gov. Tim Waltz, whom Harris picked on Tuesday after a rigorous vetting process. Though a relatively unknown candidate two weeks ago, Waltz has catapulted himself into the spotlight with his outspoken media interviews, affable demeanor and move into politics after working as a high school teacher.
Despite Walz’s progressive policy record, some Democrats see his rural Midwestern background as an opportunity to expand the Democratic coalition.
The Times/Siena poll shows Waltz with a 36% approval rating among registered voters, the same as Trump’s running mate, Ohio Sen. JD Vance. However, only 27% of respondents have a negative view of Waltz, while 46% of voters have a negative view of Vance.
As Harris has risen in the polls, she has also seen a surge in donations, new volunteer signups and crowds at rallies that have filled stadiums since she began her presidential campaign.
With 87 days until the election and even less time left for early voting, Harris’ campaign has been working to ensure that the initial hype translates into actual votes at the ballot box.
“We are the underdogs in this race, but we have momentum, and I know exactly what we’re facing,” Harris said Wednesday at a rally of more than 12,000 people in Philadelphia.
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