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French President Emmanuel Macron faces a week of intense campaigning after losing in the first round of elections. The far-right National Rally won a huge victory.
Results on Monday evening showed Marine Le Pen’s National Assembly (RN) had won just over 33% of the vote.
The far-left coalition NFP came in second at just over 28%, while Macron’s centre-right coalition received between 21% and 22%.
The survey showed that after the second round of elections, the RN is likely to win a majority of the 577 seats in the National Assembly, but it is far from certain whether it can obtain the 289 seats required for an absolute majority.
Forecasts vary widely. Ipsos estimates the party will get between 230 and 280 seats, IFOP between 240 and 270 and Elabe between 260 and 310.
– Undeniable Failure
National Assembly President Marine Le Pen was very happy with the election results and expressed her hope that parity would gain an absolute majority in the National Assembly after the second round of elections next weekend.
– Figures show the French people have put the National Assembly at the forefront, Marine Le Pen told a party election vigil on Sunday evening to cheers from her supporters, adding that “Macron’s camp has been practically eradicated”, while stressing that no decision had yet been made.
– has not yet won anything, the decisive factor will be in the second round of elections. We must have an absolute majority so that Jordan Bardella can be appointed prime minister by Emmanuel Macron eight days later, she said.
Bardella said he would form a government only if his party gets an absolute majority. If they don’t get it, there could be months of stagnation and negotiations to find a government that can survive a no-confidence vote.
In a speech shortly after the first results were announced, party leader Bardella said next weekend’s decisive election would be “the most important election ever.” French as the history of the Republic”.
– Macron’s disaster
Experts call the election a disaster for President Macron.
– We see a sharp decline in Macron’s party support. Their position in the new National Assembly will be very weak and they will no longer have much influence, said Franck Orban, associate professor at Østfold University College. Nepal.
Voter turnout in France also reached its highest level in decades, with preliminary data showing it at 69.7 percent. Kyrsten Okrust, associate professor of French literature and regional studies at the University of Oslo, believes this may have had a negative impact on Macron.
– This is good for Le Pen and the left coalition. For Macron, it is negative. Ocrust said his voters had previously turned out in high numbers. Corriere della Sera.
Request alliance
NFP leader Jean-Luc Mélenchon also called the result a devastating and indisputable defeat for Macron.
The president on Sunday called for a broad front against the far right ahead of the next round of elections on July 7.
– Macron said when the polls were released on election day that the time had come to build a broad and clear Democratic and Republican alliance in the second round of elections.
Macron announced that he would stay in office until the end of his term in 2027.
Macron and the left hope tactical voting will block Republican candidates in several constituencies, which would mean the party does not secure a majority on its own.
– high probability
Kirsten Malling Biering, senior adviser at Danish think tank Tænketanken Europa, said that despite Macron’s dream of a broad coalition, the chances of the National Assembly winning an outright majority in the elections were still high.
– It has truly become a national party, with a growing following. She told the Rica news agency that their chances of not only winning the elections but also gaining an absolute majority in the National Assembly are clearly high.
Macron announced new National Assembly elections the night after the EU elections in early June, when his centrist coalition ran a disastrous election that left the National Assembly the clear largest party.
The new elections have created uncertainty for Europe’s second-largest economy. In June, the main index of the Paris Stock Exchange suffered its biggest monthly drop in two years, falling 6.4%.
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