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A strong sign The rise of democracy The survey reflected The New York Times/Siena College The article, published on Saturday, revealed Harris surpasses Trump The same range is 50% to 46% In key states Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
Over the past year, polls in these states have shown trump card Tied or slightly ahead BidenThe New York Times recalled.
In addition, when American newspapers conducted surveys in these three states last October, Appoint an anonymous Democrat as an alternativeThis goes beyond trump card 10 points. It should be noted that trump card Won Biden already Harris For a certain point Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.

Kamala Harris and her Republican rival Donald Trump. (Photo by Brendan Smialowski and Andrew Caballer-Reynolds / AFP)
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Then, almost a year later, Anonymous Democrats Clearly defeated trump card At this moment, it may become Harris because His candidacy has gained extraordinary momentumThe New York Times pointed out.
The activity trump card Trump downplayed the results of Saturday’s New York Times poll, saying it was released to discourage support for the Republican. In addition, he said the tycoon’s vote share has historically been underestimated.
Under the voting system The Electoral College system in the United Statesstates Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, In the Midwest, they are considered key to shoring up either candidate’s victory. Other coveted states are Nevada, Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina.
In the 2020 election, Biden Won Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin yes Michiganalthough trump card It is only prevalent in North Carolina.
Last Tuesday, Harris Officially designated as a candidate Democratic Party elected president and governor of Minnesota on the same day. Tim Waltzas his formula for the vice presidency.
The two wasted no time and immediately visited several key states, including Wisconsin, Nevada, and Arizona.

US Vice President and Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris takes the stage at a campaign event at the Desert Diamond Arena in Glendale, Arizona, on August 9, 2024. (Photo by Robin Baker/AFP)
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exist Arizona On Friday, In front of about 15,000 supporters Harris seeks Hispanic votes By accusing trump card Block bipartisan border security law. “We know our immigration system is broken, and we know what it takes to fix it: comprehensive reform, including strong border security and A well-deserved path to citizenship”.
trump card He did not visit key states last week. Montanahe put forward this theory in a speech: Biden to resume re-election campaign: “I hear you’re returning to the Democratic National Convention. He’s going to walk into the room and say he’s here to stay and he wants to be your president again. It’s also another opportunity to debate Trump,” he said.
Harris’ campaign makes Trump uneasy

Supporters applaud as U.S. Vice President and Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris speaks at a campaign rally in Nevada on August 10, 2024. (Photo by Rhonda Churchill/AFP)
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In a New York Times poll, Most people think Harris is honest and smart.said she brought the right type of change, and that in addition to having the temperament to be president, she also had Have a clear vision for the countryMost people don’t think he’s too left: Just 44% of likely voters think he’s too liberal or too progressive, compared with 44% who think he’s not too left and another 6% who think he’s not progressive enough.
Juan Pablo Toro, Executive Director of International Relations Think Tank Athena Labs and geopolitical analysts believe that the survey results are consistent with Kamala Harris Then there’s the matter of his competitors.
“once Biden Announced that he would no longer participate in the competition. Harris Soon gained support from all parties Democratic Partyincluding former presidents and other departments, and quickly put them behind them. This in turn enables you to obtain the funds needed to finance your activities. “It does this very effectively”Toro said Ministry of Commerce.
It is worth noting that later Harris Begin to build a new image of what she represents relative to Trump. “She appealed to the idea that she was a prosecutor because that was her past, all the proceedings opened against Donald Trump, against criminals. That was easy for Americans to understand, it worked well, it won support and changed the way we understand campaigns.”
travel It is also pointed out that by assuming Harris Campaigning and age issues were a major axis for Trump, but now they are falling apart.
“trump card There is a well-run campaign to deal with Bidenquestioning his ability to govern and his health, but once Harris takes office, they are out of tune and they cannot attack him for this because Now Trump is older, Harris is much youngerOn the other hand, she is a woman, and Trump has a difficult relationship with women, and he also waded into the racial issue, mentioning Harris and questioning her status as a black woman, which was a major mistake. Trump’s campaign failed to adapt to this new reality”, Toro stressed.
Now, analysts say, the Republican Party is looking for a vulnerable flank to Harrisy They focused on labeling her as very left-wingoh progress As they say in America.
“There’s not much time left in the campaign, but so far we’ve seen that a week could be a long one. There were attacks, candidates resigned, and the fact is that the dramatic turnaround in the US campaign is unprecedented. There’s a flare-up in the Middle East, the US is mobilizing aircraft carriers, and there could be a major international crisis in the region after the assassination of the leader of Hamas in Iran, which could also affect the election. The other day, the unemployment data was bad and the market fell. So, This election is more of a marathon than a 100-meter race. It will last until the end.”Toro predicted.
According to Reuters, in public trump card and its allies attempted to propose Harris As a liberal who is out of touch with reality and associates it with unpopular policies Biden about immigration and inflation. But inside sources told Reuters that They see the vice president as a tougher opponent than Biden.
Not like BidenRepublicans questioned him because of his age (81) and claimed he had impaired mental capacity. trump cardTrump, 78, will face a younger (59) and more dynamic Democratic candidate who has energized the party’s base and raised hundreds of millions of dollars in donations in a matter of days.
“It was clear to everyone that she could win,” Senior Consultant trump cardwho spoke on condition of anonymity.
Is this temporary or will Harris’ good numbers last? The New York Times said, Vice President He added that he had benefited so far from weeks of very favorable media coverage, strong support and a lot of goodwill from voters eager to find an alternative to the two older candidates. But he promised that this period would not last forever.

Kamala Harris’ career. (AFP)
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