First Putin, then Tusk. Will Modi “offer any suggestions to Kyiv”?

Prime Minister’s first overseas visit India Do Ukraine Just weeks after Narendra Modi’s talks with Indian President Vladimir Putin In Moscow. On Thursday, Modi met with Prime Minister Donald Tusk and the President Andrzej DudaThis is the first official visit by an Indian prime minister to Poland in 45 years.

– Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s first visit to democratic Poland and first visit to free Ukraine are writing new history- said Dr. Tomasz Vukaczuk.

– This is the meeting of India, the leader of the southern hemisphere, with Poland, one of the leaders of the European Union. The next meeting with Ukraine is important because India has a certain narrative in terms of aggression Russiamany other countries are likely to follow suit, Vukaczuk said.

He explained that “many countries in the Global South see the war in Ukraine as yet another example of a proxy war between the United States and Russia.” This narrative needs to be demystified, according to an expert at the Faculty of Political Science and International Relations at the University of Warsaw, as it is an important issue for a proper understanding of the interconnectedness of the global security system.

——The situation in Ukraine and the Middle East has a significant impact on the interests and security of southern countries such as India. India discovered this during the development of events in Ukraine and joined the military support for the aggressor. China I North Koreathat is, the nearest neighbors – political scientists point out.

– It turns out that the war is not too far from Delhi and directly affects India’s security- he added.

In his view, the dangerous situation India faces is at a time when China is gaining strength in the Ukraine conflict, while Russia is weakening.

Asked about Modi’s recent meeting with Putin, Lukaszuk said, “For India, an ambitious country, this is an inside game.” – The head of the Indian government must ensure the supply of oil and gas because without it, India’s huge economy will not survive – he said.

Russian crude accounted for 44% of India’s total imports last month, a record high, Reuters reported on Thursday. In 2021, before Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, Russian oil accounted for only 2% of the country’s annual imports.

The expert also stressed that the visits to Poland and Ukraine would allow the two leaders to once again emphasize in direct talks that “Russia has violated all the rules of the existing international order established over the past hundred years, all conventions on war and peace.” – India and other countries of the Global South should understand this fundamental issue related to the principles of the global international order in the 21st century – Vukaczuk explained.

The political scientist said, “From Prime Minister Modi’s perspective, the most important thing is to maintain a balance between the most important players in the Indian environment: the United States, China and Russia.”

– India understands that this balance must be maintained. If Russia is weak and China is strong, it will harm India’s interests. USA In 2005, China-India cooperation entered a higher level, and since then the strategic partnership has continued to deepen and stabilize,” he explained.

The status of China and Russia is not very stable, which poses a great challenge to India.

– PM Modi had a private conversation with PM Tusk and earlier he also spoke with Putin. This means that he might make some proposals to Kyiv regarding a peaceful end to the war. If he does not have such proposals, he will propose to personally participate in talks with people he is in regular contact with, namely the US President, the Chinese President and the Russian leader. President Zelensky knows that Modi is one of the few heads of government in the world with whom he is in direct contact on a regular basis. This could be a proposal to President Zelensky, the political scientist said.

– He added that it was important for Modi not only to end the war peacefully, but also for Zelensky to understand the fundamentals guiding India’s foreign policy.

India, along with China, became the main sales market for Russian raw materials sanctioned by the European Union and the United States after Moscow launched a full-scale war against Ukraine in February 2022. India did not condemn Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

Modi’s visit to Kyiv will end on Friday. Ukraine celebrates its Independence Day on Saturday.