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Los Angeles Democrats They have time to define their candidates until Party Congress What will be celebrated Chicago From August 19. However, they can do it much faster.
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on Monday, The Terrible CarlisleThe 59-year-old has already secured the support of 531 delegates, while he needs 1,986 to be nominated. Democratic PartyAccording to statistics from The Hill newspaper.
U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris and President Joe Biden react on stage during a campaign event in North Carolina on March 26, 2024. (EFE/EPA/ALLISON JOYCE).
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These representatives have confirmed they will vote for her in the election Democratic National Convention of Chicago.
On Sunday, he engaged in a disastrous debate with Republicans weeks after his fitness to run was questioned because of his 81 years old. Donald TrumpBiden decided to give up re-election campaign “for the benefit of the people” Democratic Party From the United States, and Show support for Harris.
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After the President’s announcement, Harris She has also received public endorsements from former President Bill Clinton and his wife, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, as well as two possible primary rivals: Gov. Gavin Newsom (California) Gretchen Whitmer (Michigan).
Additionally, it has been endorsed by the governors of Illinois, Minnesota, Wisconsin and Maryland.
A woman holds a sign that reads “Thank you Joe” in front of the White House after the US president announced he would not seek re-election. (Photo by Samuel Collum/AFP)
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Another fact reflects the acceptance of possible candidacy HarrisActBlue platform, one of the leading platforms for donating to charity Democratic Partyreports say, Vice President Raised nearly $47 million In donation In the first seven hours after her campaign was endorsed Biden As his successor.
Just have money Action Bluemainly from small donors.
“This is the biggest fundraising day of the 2024 cycle, and small donors are excited and ready to face these elections.”the platform writes in its X profile.
The New York Times emphasized that small donors are rapidly joining the ranks. Harris.
The New York Times cited the following examples of initiatives: David HoggThe gun control activist and survivor of the 2018 mass shooting in Parkland, Florida, challenged followers on social media to quickly raise money for Harris.
Hogg said his appeal on the X network raised $200,000 in donations in just a few hours.
At this point, it is worth asking whether Kamala Harris Is a candidate with a better chance of winning trump card What Biden.
What do the polls say about Kamala Harris?
Kamala Harris photographed on June 14, 2021. (Photo by MANDEL NGAN / AFP).
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Generally speaking, previously published surveys Biden Relinquishing candidacy Kamala Harris Same approval rating as the president, or just slightly better Donald Trump.
exist The latest national poll from NBC Newsafter more than a week of poor performance Biden During the first debate on June 27, but before Trump’s assassination attempt at a rally PennsylvaniaPresident and Harris They trail Republicans by 2 percentage points among registered voters.
trump cardaccounting for 45%, higher than Bidenwith 43% of the registered population; while the Republican Party surpassed Harris The vice president’s approval rating is 47 percent, while the vice president’s is 45 percent. Both differences are within the margin of error of the NBC News poll.
In the same survey, Harris Beyond Biden Leading among black voters by 64 percentage points trump card Among this group (78% to 14%), Biden leads Trump by 57 percentage points.
A trump card He performed slightly better among white voters than HarrisThey were 16 points ahead of them, while they were 14 points ahead of their opponents. BidenNBC News noted.
other Fox News National Poll After the debate, he revealed trump card The willingness to vote reached 49%, while the proportion of intention to vote was 48%. Biden. although Harris Trump’s approval rating remained at 48%, while Trump maintained 49%.
A CBS News/YouGov National Poll Trump leads in likely voter survey after Republican assassination attempt Biden Increased by 5 percentage points: 52% to 47%; although Harris He trails the tycoon by 3 percentage points, 51% to 48%.
exist New York Times and Siena College Poll In key states Pennsylvania yes Virginia, Harris Beyond Biden Support among likely voters is 2 percentage points higher.
In another survey conducted by CNN and SSRS, trump card Leading with 47% of the vote, Harris That adds up to 45%, which is within the margin of error.
All of these numbers are subject to change following resignation. Biden.
Kamala Harris’ strengths and weaknesses
Aribel Contreras SuarezThe International Analyst Coordinator for the Bachelor of Global Business at the Iberoamerican University in Mexico City said Democratic Party The race is on to choose an alternative Biden.
“Kamala Harris It has received support from key party figures, such as the governor California,lose ClintonBut there are other figures who have expressed interest in running to compete in a mini-primary against other Democrats.Contreras said in the conversation trading.
About its advantages Harris If it is eventually designated to compete trump cardContreras also highlighted her record as California’s attorney general and as a senator from the state. “Her fight for women’s rights, abortion rights, access to birth control pills, and her support for the LGBT community are unwavering in her views on what women should stand for. Donald TrumpThe opposite view is expressed in its 2025 project, namely the concept of the traditional family, in which there is no space for LGBT people, supporting the setback of abortion rights, which puts abortion rights in the hands of the states to decide the issue. “
“There is no doubt that she or whoever the Democratic candidate is will have to exploit the weaknesses of the Democratic Party. trump card“These weaknesses must become your strengths.” Contreras stressed.
Analysts see a tough campaign ahead.“We have to see who the Democratic Party’s VP pick is, because the Republicans chose J.D. Vance, who is more radical than Trump.”
“This will not be an easy campaign, it will be filled with slander, attacks, verbal violence, and we must be prepared for months of quicksand and many poisonous darts in the electoral field.””, Contreras warned.
As far as international analysts are concerned Francisco Belaunde Matossian I believe the advantage lies in Kamala Harris There will be no more questions about Biden, especially about his health, his ability to govern, and his age. “All those issues that made a presidential candidacy so vulnerable will no longer exist.”
“This is a complicated issue for Democrats because this is going to be a short campaign anyway. Harris If she is elected and faces Trump, it won’t be easy. But Democrats may have a better chance now than before. Biden ‘He maintained his candidacy’commented Belaunde.
Analysts believe that one of the challenges is Harris It must be to attract new voters among minorities, those who are hesitant to vote. Biden And they will not support trump card.
“A kind of vulnerability trump card The issue with women’s votes is his stance on abortion, which is likely to increase now that his rival is finally a woman,” Belaunde said.
He also believes trump card Will use Immigration issues Oppose with greater force HarrisBecause this was one of the tasks Biden assigned to the vice president when he first took office.
Kamala Harris. (AFP)
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