Best forecast for livestock sector set for 2025 – Rurales

he Pablo Carrasco, Director of Conexión GanaderaInsisting, “For four months, looking at the cows, we knew we were going to reach the upper limit of pregnancy because the country was brutal and we had an abundance of grass.”

In an interview with Carve Radio’s ValorAdded, Carrasco said that if this had happened 20 or 30 years ago, “it would have been bad news for the breeders because the large number of calves would have been catastrophic, but it is good news for all of Uruguay because there is an export.”

This kind of pregnancy situation, “This will result in a very limited supply of cows for the winter.”added the Conexión Ganadera director.

Regarding the 2023/2024 season, which is about to end, Carrasco noted that “from a physical point of view, it will be fantastic in terms of kilograms produced, and from an economic point of view it is a bullet without an exit hole” postponing the exchange rate. “

“I think there was an old secret, which was a minimum required productivity tax, that is, it was a kilogram of meat and wool, and the state would set the value of the product every year, so in kilograms you always paid the same, and it was a nearly perfect tax,” he recalls.

“It will be a worrying exercise because if you produce too much, the results will be mediocre,” said the director of Conexión Ganadera.

Thinking about the livestock business in the second semester, Carrasco said, “We have to realize that these price levels that the industry is giving us are going to make them lose money or break even in the best case scenario, so the best case scenario is that it doesn’t go down.”

“In my case, the animals were drawn as fat leaves and the prices were exploited,” commented the director of Conexión Ganadera, adding that he hopes for the best in 2025.

Carrasco believes we should expect “a significant reduction in U.S. supplies to Europe, which will not be compensated by Brazil and Australia. This year will be a better year on the demand side, and we can say that a new China is before us,” he said, referring to Southeast Asia.

“Entering Malaysia is almost like entering ASEAN, which has 10 countries.””, Carrasco concluded.