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___________________________________________ ______
(Ahmad Darwish)
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December 2, 1446 AH
August 16, 2024 AD
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What will the relationship between the United States and Israel look like in the near future? American Very much so, especially with the election approaching Presidency American It is expected to be held in November next year.
What would the relationship between the United States and the Zionist entity look like if Republican candidate Donald Trump wins? Would things change much if Democratic candidate Kamala Harris wins? These are the questions we answer in detail, based on our analysis and inferences, reading the statements and positions of both candidates on the ongoing war in the Gaza Strip from October 7 last year to the present day.
Trump’s stance on war
Trump does not hide his position of supporting the occupying power in the war in the Gaza Strip and his demand that they quickly end the war because it would result in a battle they are losing. Relationships Publicly, as he said in a newspaper interview "Israel Today" On March 25, 2024, he called for more skillful management of Israel’s criminal behavior, saying: "Every night I see buildings collapsing on people, and these scenes are supposedly presented by Israel through the Israeli Ministry of Defense, and I say: Why are they presenting this? It’s a bad image to do what you have to do, but people shouldn’t have to see this."!
He also dodged a question from Time magazine about whether he would stop aid to Israel if it did not stop the war, but later backed what he said was Israel’s right to continue the war. "Its war on terror"He met with Jewish donors on May 14, 2024, according to leaked content about the meeting from The Washington Post.
He publicly confirmed this in his first debate with Biden, where he said Israel was the party that wanted to continue the war and Biden had to "He left Israel to fulfill his mission, but he didn’t want to do it.".
Then he returned to give a speech in Milwaukee promising to end the war "Wisconsin" July 19, 2024 Warning "The Israeli hostages had better be returned before I take office, or there will be a heavy price to pay.".
Trump’s foreign policy
Through numerous statements and hints, former US President Trump seems to be adopting a foreign policy that is more isolating of allies other than Israel if he returns to the White House in January next year, and he will also re-apply this principle. "Paying protection money".
According to the newspaper "The Washington Post" Trump has not offered a clear strategy on the Palestinian issue, and in a meeting with some donors he expressed doubts about the feasibility of an independent Palestinian state.
This prediction and deduction of Trump’s foreign policy is based on his choice of senators "J. Fans" If he wins the election at the end of this year, he will fill the position of vice president, as he is a staunch opponent of the defense spending policies of European allies, but at the same time he is a staunch supporter of Israel.
Given the duality "Trump-Vance" The Republican Party represents the most isolationist version of its history, as it accepts the idea of Europe taking over its security and spending money on it, and the same will happen with Ukraine, where Trump announced that from now on he would no longer provide Ukraine with aid, money or weapons, and pushed for an end to the war, as he believes that Russia does not pose an existential threat to Europe and that peace can be made with it.
But despite the strict policies adopted by many European countries, they have adopted… "Trump and Vance" Support Israel’s war in the Gaza Strip without conditions or restrictions and allow it to continue its efforts until all its goals are achieved.
Trump’s Palestine Issue
According to the newspaper "The Washington Post" Trump has not offered a clear strategy on the Palestinian issue, and in a meeting with some donors he expressed doubts about the feasibility of an independent Palestinian state.
Hardness toward the Palestinians and their supporters is likely to become a defining feature of the Trump administration, and in a clear sign of that, of the 20 promises made by the Republicans in their approved plan to American voters, the 18th is "Expel pro-Hamas extremists and make our college campuses safe and patriotic again".
Jeremy Ben-Ami, head of J Street, a pro-Israel Democratic lobbying group in the United States, warned… "With Trump and Vance in the White House, the Israeli right will have the full support of the United States to realize its wildest fantasies, including a judicial coup, annexation of the West Bank, Gaza settlements, and military confrontation with Hezbollah and Iran.".
Harris’s stance on the war
Harris is one of the United States’ staunch and consistent advocates of support for the Zionist entity, a position she maintained after the events of October 7, but over time, Harris’s usual calls for strong relations with Israel have been criticized by the Israeli army during the escalation of the massacre in Gaza.
At the Munich Security Conference last February, Harris expressed support for incorporating a two-state solution into the public discourse of U.S. foreign policy, saying it was a path for Israel and Palestine to achieve peace and security in the international system.
In a speech last March, as the international response to the Israeli attack intensified and pressure mounted on the US government, Harris drew attention to the humanitarian situation in Gaza, saying: "People in Gaza are starving"It urged Israel to increase aid to the Gaza Strip.
Harris stressed in an interview with CBS News that it is important to distinguish between the Israeli government and the Israeli people, noting "Israelis and Palestinians deserve security".
According to media reports American If Harris wins the presidency, Emhoff will become "First Person" (The president’s husband) was also the first Jewish husband of a U.S. president.
As for her comments on the Internet "ABC News" American Last May, as Israel prepared to attack the city of Rafah south of Gaza, Harris said: "Any major military action in Rafah would be a big mistake, I looked at the map and saw that there were 1.5 million people in Rafah with nowhere to go because that’s where they were told to go.".
Harris’s foreign policy
The US Vice President is expected to maintain… "Kamla Harris" It has largely followed President Joe Biden’s foreign policy approach on issues such as China, Iran and Ukraine, but it would likely take a tougher line on Israel over the Gaza war if it secures the Democratic nomination and is able to win the election. American future.
He said "Aaron David Miller" Analyst focusing on foreign policy American Carnegie Endowment for International Peace: "Harris would be subject to the same restrictions as Biden but would be more sympathetic toward Palestinian rights and likely have a tougher policy toward settlements."Miller added: "It may be a more active player, but we should not expect an immediate and significant shift in the core of Biden’s foreign policy.".
Regarding a range of global priorities in American politics, analysts believe that Harris’ presidency will generally be similar to Biden’s second term.
Harris on Palestine
If Harris, carrying the Democratic banner, is able to beat Trump’s lead in the polls before the election, the Israeli-Palestinian conflict will be at the top of her agenda, especially with the Gaza war still raging.
Although she supports Biden, as his deputy, she supports Israel’s right to defend itself after the movement launched an attack "agitation" October 7 Regarding Israel, I have from time to time criticized Israel’s military practices.
Harris has also forged closer ties with progressive Democrats, some of whom have pressured Biden to impose conditions on weapons shipments. American Israel made the request out of concern about the high number of Palestinian civilian deaths in the Gaza conflict.
While Biden has a long history with a range of Israeli leaders, he describes himself as… "Zionists"Harris, the Jewish lawyer’s wife "Doug Emhoff" She does not have such close personal ties to Israel, but she is still mentioned in the media American If Harris wins the presidency, Emhoff will become "First Person" (The president’s husband) was also the first Jewish husband of a U.S. president.
Final Words
There may be some or big differences between Trump and Harris on their views and approaches to the Palestinian issue, but there is no doubt that either of them will remain loyal to the Palestinian issue if he wins the presidency. Israel is Washington’s closest ally in the Middle East, not to mention its unlimited support in any war with the Palestinians, but it also seems clear that there is a potential president called. "trump card" He intends to complete his prearranged plan to eliminate the Palestinians’ dream of liberation, and there is a potential female candidate named "Harris" One of its goals is not to reach a deal of the century that would bring all Arabs together at the Israeli table.
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