Exit polls predict UK political landslide: Labour gains huge points, Conservatives suffer heavy defeat

For Labour, 410 seats would be their best election result since 1997. They subsequently won 419 seats in the British Parliament with Tony Blair. In 2019, the Social Democrats achieved their worst result ever, with just 202 seats.

According to exit polls, the Conservative Party led by Chancellor Rishi Sunak has been reduced to 131 seats. This is the lowest number of seats the party has ever won. To date, the Conservatives have never won fewer than 156 seats. This result dates back to 1906, according to The Guardian.

The Conservatives won a resounding victory in 2019 with Boris Johnson taking 365 seats, but the party has lost all credibility in recent years due to a series of scandals and poor policies. (Read more below the photo)

The Scottish National Party (SNP) has 10 seats. According to exit polls, the Liberal Democrats will increase their seats from 11 to 61. Nigel Farage’s new anti-immigration party, Reform UK, will get 13 seats in the House of Commons, more than the expected 5 to 7. Whether Farage himself will also be elected as an MP will be revealed later this evening.

Thirteen seats may not seem like a lot, but Britain’s electoral system – where the candidate with the most votes in a constituency wins the seat – makes it difficult for smaller parties to win seats. Reform UK would therefore immediately become the fourth party in Westminster.

Reform UK has been around since 2021 and is the rebirth of the Brexit Party, which in turn was born out of the UK Independence Party that made Nigel Farage famous. The latter unexpectedly announced in early June that he would contest the UK general election, even though he had not been politically active for several years. Reform UK immediately improved in the polls.

The party campaigned largely on immigration, which could hurt the Conservatives, whose party under Prime Minister Rishi Sunak has failed to curb illegal cross-Channel migration in recent years, with plans to airlift asylum seekers to Rwanda still a dead letter. (Read more below the photo)

Exit polls are based on Ipsos surveys commissioned by major UK media outlets and, while there may be slight differences, they are rarely far from the actual results. The actual results for each constituency will be received overnight. For example, by 5am Belgian time it should be clear whether Sunak will retain his seat in Richmond and Northallerton.

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Some constituencies are of particular concern. Basildon and Billericay, Broxbourne and Cannock Chase, for example, are Conservative strongholds and could provide early signs of expected Conservative losses.

In Godalming and Ash, exit polls appear to indicate Chancellor Jeremy Hunt will lose his seat, Sky News reported. This is where the Liberal Democrats are expected to win. Defense Secretary Grant Shapps’ seat is also at risk.

Outgoing Chancellor Rishi Sunak may be able to retain his seat. His chances of winning Richmond and Northallerton are estimated at 99%.

In Clacton, Nigel Farage looks likely to be elected to Parliament after seven attempts. The Conservatives won the seat convincingly in 2019, but it was won by Farage’s former party, UKIP, in 2015. According to polls, UKIP also has a good chance of winning in Castle Point.